Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that maybe what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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