Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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